Poland’s recent suspicion of American and German strategic motives following the US’ waiving of most Nord Stream II sanctions, last month’s Biden-Putin Summit, and Berlin’s support of former Prime Minister Tusk’s reinvigorated attempt to oust the country’s ruling party puts the Central European leader in a disadvantageous position but also unexpectedly creates the opportunity for it to negotiate an informal “non-aggression pact” with Russia in order for Warsaw to redirect its attention towards thwarting the newfound threats that its nominal allies pose to its sovereignty.
Poland’s in a proverbial pickle after recent moves from its nominal American and German allies. The US’ waiving of most Nord Stream II sanctions, last month’s Biden-Putin Summit, and Berlin’s support of former Prime Minister Tusk’s reinvigorated attempt to oust the country’s ruling party prompted serious suspicion of their strategic motives. It also puts the Central European leader in a disadvantageous position after having irresponsibly formulated its foreign policy on the expectation that former US President Trump would win re-election and continue reshaping European geopolitics in a manner that’s in close alignment with Polish interests. I’ve been covering this over the past few months in the following pieces that intrepid readers should review in order to be brought up to speed on what’s been happening in this dynamic New Cold War theater:
* 9 April 2021: “A Discussion About Poland’s Geopolitical Future”
* 14 April 2021: “Poland Must Wake Up To The Threat Of German Hybrid War”
* 11 June 2021: “Towards Increasingly Complex Multipolarity: Scenarios For The Future”
* 15 June 2021: “How Serious Are Poland’s Grand Strategic Disagreements With The US?”
* 24 June 2021: “Polish-US Missile Defense Co-Op Is A Strategic Smokescreen”
* 12 July 2021: “Former Polish PM Tusk Ridiculously Alleged A Kaczynski-Putin Conspiracy”
To make a long story short, Poland believes that the US backstabbed it by cutting a deal with Russia at its perceived expense regarding Nord Stream II.