Earlier, November 2020: POLITICO Discovers Trump-Supporting Tejanos on the Border
If only because of the illegal-alien invasion at the southwest border, Republicans have been rightly optimistic about crushing Bidenâ€™s party in November. And Mexico-born Mayra Floresâ€™ victory in the special election for Texas 34th congressional district has reinforced those not-unwarranted hopes [Newly elected Mayra Flores on Democrats: â€˜They feel entitled to our voteâ€™, by David Cohen, Politico, June 19, 2022]. But GOP strategists must not imagine that Floresâ€™ success means Hispanics are running to the GOP nationwide, so they just need to continue tilting at the windmill of the Hispanic vote while ignoring the white middle class. South Texas is unique, and very unlike the major cities where Hispanics are monolithically Democrat and will certainly stay that way.
TX-34 is 85 percent Hispanic and it has been solidly Democrat for ages [Republicans flip U.S. House seat in South Texas, historically a Democratic stronghold, by Patrick Svitek, The Texas Tribune, June 14, 2022]. Incumbent Rep. Filemon Vela Jr. announced in March 2021 that he would not run for re-election, despite winning 55-42 in 2020. Perhaps significantly, Joe Biden won the district by a smaller margin, 51-37. For perspective, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton won the district handily during their presidential runs in 2012 and 2016: 61-38 and 59-37 respectively.