No experience of the failure of policy can shake belief in its excellence, even though foreign adventures drained the treasury and led to imperial decline.
January 25, 2024
ALERT MEMORANDUM FOR: The President
FROM: VETERAN INTELLIGENCE PROFESSIONALS FOR SANITY (VIPS)
SUBJECT: Throwing Good Money After Bad: Decisions in an Intelligence Vacuum
Dear President Biden:
We noted in our January 26, 2023 Memorandum to you that National Intelligence Director Avril Haines had expressed skepticism that Russian forces would be sufficiently prepared for Ukraine’s coming offensive. She said Russia was using up ammunition “extraordinarily quickly” and could not indigenously produce what it was expending.
You had just approved sending Abrams tanks to Ukraine. We wrote:
“None of the newly promised weaponry will stop Russia from defeating what’s left of the Ukrainian army. If you have been told otherwise, replace your intelligence and military advisers with competent professionals – the sooner the better.”
Russia Has Not Already Lost
On July 13, 2023, you said Putin “has already lost the war”. You may have gotten that from C.I.A. Director William Burns who,