Baltic Dry Index: Nahe dem Allzeittief – Und Schuld soll der Coronavirus haben |


12-02-20 08:45:00,

Schiffscontainer - Bildquelle: Pixabay / Free-Photos; CC0 Creative CommonsSchiffscontainer - Bildquelle: Pixabay / Free-Photos; CC0 Creative Commons

Schiffscontainer – Bildquelle: Pixabay / Free-Photos; CC0 Creative Commons

Bereits seit September ist der Baltic Dry Index gefallen. Lange bevor der Coronavirus auf der Weltbühne erstmals aufgetreten ist und seit Januar die Schlagzeilen in der Hochleistungspresse beherrscht. Jedoch ist der Virus eine wunderbare Möglichkeit den – ich weiß, ich mag den einen oder anderen damit langweilen – bereits laufenden Zusammenbruch der Weltwirtschaft zu kaschieren.

Baltic Dry Index - Bildquelle: Screenshot-Ausschnitt BloombergBaltic Dry Index - Bildquelle: Screenshot-Ausschnitt Bloomberg

Baltic Dry Index – Bildquelle: Screenshot-Ausschnitt Bloomberg

Der Index misst das Frachtaufkommen für Schüttgüter auf den internationalen Märkten. Ein niedriger Wert zeigt meist einen Nachfrageabfall an, während ein Anstieg einen positiven Ausblick zulässt. Der seit September zu verzeichnende Einbruch ist in seinem Ausmass signifikant und daher nicht zu unterschätzen. Das globale Frachtaufkommen und die Produktion befinden sich in einer Abwärtsspirale, während zeitgleich die Schuldenberge immer astronomischere Höhen annehmen. Die “Blase aller Blasen” wurde schon vor Monaten angestochen, aber der Mainstream will/darf/kann es noch nicht wissen…

Der wichtigste Seefrachtindex der Baltic Dry Index verzeichnete am Dienstag einen Anstieg nach einem Vierjahrestiefstand, während das größere Capesize-Segment im negativen Bereich blieb, da der Ausbruch des Coronavirus in China die Nachfrage lahmlegte.

Der Baltic Index, der die Sätze für Capesize-, Panamax- und Supramax-Schiffe angibt, die Massengüter befördern, stieg um 7 Punkte oder 1,7% auf 418.

Der Hauptindex ist in der letzten Sitzung auf den niedrigsten Stand seit März 2016 gefallen.

Die Nachfrage in China, das für fast 40% der gesamten Trockenimporte auf dem Meerweg verantwortlich ist, ist bereits stark betroffen, sagte Charles Chasty, Research Analyst bei Affinity Shipping, gegenüber dem Reuters Global Markets Forum.

“Wir gehen davon aus, dass das Coronavirus aufgrund der marktbeherrschenden Stellung Chinas, sollte es eine Weile andauern, eine stärkere Beeinträchtigung des Marktes für Massenprodukte zur Folge haben wird.”

(The Baltic Exchange’s main sea freight index edged up from a near four-year low on Tuesday, while the larger capesize segment remained in negative territory, as the coronavirus outbreak in China crippled demand.

The Baltic index, which tracks rates for capesize, panamax and supramax vessels that ferry dry bulk commodities, rose 7 points,

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NATO Consolidation: The “Baltic Reassurance Act” Is a Ruse for Provoking Russia – Global Research


18-06-19 02:32:00,

The proposed “Baltic Reassurance Act” aims to more closely integrate the Baltic countries into NATO, but its most controversial clause is the suggestion that “the United States should lead a multilateral effort to develop a strategy to deepen joint capabilities with [those three countries], NATO allies, and other regional partners”, strongly implying that this legislation is a ruse for provoking Russia by facilitating non-NATO-members Finland and Sweden’s military interoperability with the bloc under the pretext of protecting the Baltics.

Texas Republican Congressman Michael Conaway introduced the so-called “Baltic Reassurance Act” into the House earlier this month, which recently drew the attention of Russian Chairman of the Committee on International Affairs Leonid Slutsky who alleged that its true purpose is to push American arms onto the countries abutting Russia’s borders. While that’s certainly true, there might actually be a bit more of an anti-Russian provocation brewing if this bill ultimately enters into law judging by its ultra-controversial clause that “the United States should lead a multilateral effort to develop a strategy to deepen joint capabilities with Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, NATO allies, and other regional partners”, with a key emphasis being placed on the last-mentioned “regional partners”.

The only realistic countries that this could refer to are non-NATO-members Finland and Sweden, making it suspiciously seem like this legislation is a ruse for facilitating those countries’ military interoperability with the bloc under the pretext of protecting the Baltics from so-called “Russian aggression”. The case being made in the text is that these former Soviet Republics are supposedly vulnerable to a lightning-fast military attack from their neighbor, one which might be so quick that it overwhelms NATO’s troops there and succeeds before the bloc can call in reinforcements. In the extremely unlikely chance that this fringe scenario comes to pass, the only real recourse that the US believes it can have is to rely on its its nearby “NATO allies, and other regional partners” to buy time before its own forces can arrive en masse to the area of operations.

It’s here where Poland (the US’ top NATO ally), Finland, and Sweden are envisaged as having a role to play. The first-mentioned country used to be part of the same historical Great Power as Lithuania during the centuries of their Commonwealth,

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The Baltic States Ask The US For A Bigger Military Presence On Their Soil

The Baltic States Ask The US For A Bigger Military Presence On Their Soil

22-05-18 06:34:00,

Authored by Arkady Savitsky via The Strategic Culture Foundation,

The foreign ministers (FMs) of the Baltic states have wound up their May 16-18 visit to Washington. They asked National Security Adviser John Bolton to reinforce the NATO battalions that have been deployed to their countries with air and naval units. They also want their air-defense capability enhanced. Lithuanian FM Linas Linkevicius emphasized that it’s not just the numbers that are important, but also training exercises, visits, the distribution of equipment, and the establishment of new military facilities. Latvian FM Edgars Rinkevics called for making the US military presence in the Baltic states and Poland permanent. It’s hardly a coincidence that the issue has been raised prior to the NATO 2018 summit that will take place on July 11-12.

The leaders of the Baltic states have always stressed that they see the current military build-up as only the starting point for a larger effort that will include modernized routes and infrastructure sites, as well equipping their national forces with more up-to-date weapons for offensive operations.

NATO has deployed four battalion-sized battle groups (roughly 4,500 troops) to Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland. The nations that comprise the backbone of this force are the US, the UK, Germany and Canada. Twelve other allies also contribute to the Enhanced Forward Presence (EFP). Eight small staffs known as NATO force integration units have also been established. Common rules of engagement (ROE) are in the process of being hammered out, taking into account regional nuances. In the event of war, the Graduated Response Plan (Eagle Defender) with its own detailed ROE will come into play.

Under the European Deterrence Initiative (EDI), the US military has transferred over to Europe a 3,500-strong armored brigade combat team and a 2,200-strong combat aviation brigade that is headquartered in Germany, and a combat sustainment support battalion (750 troops) that is stationed on Polish soil to be used as a logistics hub in Romania. It has also deployed a support team to Lithuania.

In total, America now has three combat-ready brigades stationed in Europe, along with pre-positioned stockpiles of weapons systems and equipment that will allow a fourth brigade to rapidly beef up its forces to launch an attack against Russia.

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